30 Jun · 14:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1307
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1517
FormWWLLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+210
H2H23-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-10)