1 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1634
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gumulinski
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1591
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H19-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)