1 Jul · 00:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1540
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1634
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H10-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-0)