30 Jun · 23:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1634
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gumulinski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1454
FormWWWLW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H66-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-26)