30 Jun · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1355
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1591
FormLWLLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
20%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+236
H2H32-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+236)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-9)