30 Jun · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1500
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1591
FormLWLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)