30 Jun · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1363
FormLLWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1634
FormWWWLW
23%
77%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~78 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
28%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+271
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+271)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)