30 Jun · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gajda
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1451
FormWWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)