30 Jun · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1578
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Adamus
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1427
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)