1 Jul · 05:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PD
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1938
FormWWWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37David
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wederlich
ELO 1712
FormLWLLW
73%
27%
Fair odds · David
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~74 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+226
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)