30 Jun · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1461
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Marud
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1393
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H16-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)