30 Jun · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1564
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H41-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)