30 Jun · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1309
FormLLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1447
FormWWLLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)