30 Jun · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1621
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Koczyba
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1538
FormWWLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H21-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-5)