1 Jul · 05:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1313
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1398
FormWWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)