1 Jul · 07:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PD
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1938
FormWWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56David
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1809
FormWLWLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · David
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H22-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-16)