1 Jul · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1471
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamus
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1454
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H12-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.