1 Jul · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1454
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1540
FormLLWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)