1 Jul · 06:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PD
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1938
FormWWWLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28David
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1650
FormWWWLW
78%
22%
Fair odds · David
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
29%
3-2
20%
2-3
10%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+288
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+288)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)