1 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1650
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wederlich
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wederlich
ELO 1712
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Wederlich
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)