1 Jul · 05:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1809
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Olejnik
JB
🇵🇱Josef Braun
ELO 1738
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H16-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-10)