30 Jun · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1453
FormLLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1655
FormLWWLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+202
H2H35-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-20)