1 Jul · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1471
FormLLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Adamus
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1313
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)