1 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1454
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1504
FormWLLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)