30 Jun · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1388
FormLLWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1632
FormWWLWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
26%
2-3
20%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+244
H2H16-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+244)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-0)