30 Jun · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1470
FormWLWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pyrek
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1293
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H17-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-1)