30 Jun · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1445
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1583
FormWLWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)