30 Jun · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1474
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pyrek
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1424
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)