1 Jul · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1651
FormLWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Tkocz
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1454
FormWLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H36-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-20)