30 Jun · 23:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1386
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Chojnacki
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1287
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Chojnacki
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H13-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)