30 Jun · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1325
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1370
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H17-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)