30 Jun · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1385
FormLLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1573
FormLWLWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)