1 Jul · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1608
FormWLWWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Lebek
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1380
FormLLLLW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+228
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)