1 Jul · 00:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1376
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cioch
BC
🇵🇱Blazej Cioch
ELO 1402
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Cioch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.