1 Jul · 00:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1454
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1539
FormLWLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H19-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-4)