1 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1320
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mugowski
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1368
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Mugowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)