1 Jul · 01:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1639
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tkocz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1578
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)