1 Jul · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1404
FormWWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1639
FormLWLLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+235
H2H29-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+235)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-2)