1 Jul · 03:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1381
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kotyl
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1368
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H31-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.