1 Jul · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1607
FormWLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lebek
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1458
FormLLWWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H19-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-11)