1 Jul · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1404
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1458
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H16-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)