1 Jul · 03:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1571
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oracz
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1532
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.