1 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1521
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chlodnicki
PC
🇵🇱Piotr Chlodnicki
ELO 1526
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Chlodnicki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.