1 Jul · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1418
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sulkowski
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1394
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H20-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.