1 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1563
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1522
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H41-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)