1 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1493
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chlodnicki
PC
🇵🇱Piotr Chlodnicki
ELO 1518
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Chlodnicki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.