1 Jul · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1573
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1594
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.