1 Jul · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1531
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gajda
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1484
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)