1 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1446
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1472
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.