1 Jul · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1357
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1481
FormWWWLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H32-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-8)